The scenario of supercell storms in Belgrade will repeat itself, starting tonight. During the night and tomorrow afternoon, the storm will hit the Belgrade region again, Vladimir Đurđević, professor at the Meteorology Department of the Faculty of Physics and climatologist, says.
After that extreme weather front passes, Serbia will be able to breathe a sigh of relief as we will have a cooling period of one, three or four days.
“Temperatures will be noticeably lower than they are now, and after that, we should have slightly warmer weather,” said Đurđević.
This is not typical for our region
The climatologist pointed out that this is one of the strongest storms that hit Serbia in its recent history and that there are many “peculiarities” about this storm that sets it apart from storms in, say, other regions.
Namely, a supercell storm rarely happens for days in a row. For this type of storm, “it is typical that it happens in the course of one afternoon or one day and then the atmosphere stabilizes”, explains Đurđević.
What was also unusual was that this time around a very large area was affected by the entire system of storm clouds. In that sense, he says, “This is not a standard for our regions”.
The other extreme: High temperatures
This year, the Serbian State Hydrometeorological Service (RHMZ) warned that temperatures will reach 40 degrees even at night, which is the second extreme compared to stormy weather. The reasons for fear of an extreme climate future are increasing, and this is evidenced by the warning of the scientist from Great Britain Simon Lewis that the current global policy will lead to a warming of 2.7 degrees by the year 2100.
As Đurđević explains, the reason why the weather has become more extreme in recent years is climate change.
“Most often we communicate this problem by talking about the fact that the planet is warmer by 1 degree Celsius compared to the period 150 years ago. If our planet warms up by just 1 degree, we can expect more extreme weather,” he adds.
We have to learn to live with it
International policies are not conducive to the Paris Agreement, which was adopted in 2015, which stipulates that the warming of the planet should not exceed 2 degrees Celsius.
This is the reason why Đurđević expects that in the future there will be more frequent occurrences of extreme weather conditions such as droughts, floods, precipitation, intensity and frequency of waves.
“What is happening right now is a kind of introduction to what we can expect in the future. In that sense, we need to adapt to a more extreme climate and learn to live with it”, he says.
In order to implement the measures stated in the Paris Agreement, all countries of the world would have to abandon the use of coal, oil and gas by 2050. “At the moment, some countries are making an effort to do this, but looking at the bigger picture, we are still not on the path that leads to the fulfilment of that goal,” concludes the climatologist.
This post is also available in: Italiano