Political analysts, the reporter from the reputable Nedeljnik weekly, Nenad Caluković and director of poll agency Faktor Plus, Vladimir Pejic, all agree that government reshuffle will happen and that it is almost certain that the current ministers of defence and interior would not have to resign.
Pejić said that the reshuffle would definitely happen unless snap election happen first.
“The reshuffle will be an ongoing topic May, i.e. until new Belgrade Assembly is formed. Aleksandar Vucic has the habit of keeping ministers under a mild tension, and it also possible that the reshuffle could happen in the autumn“, Pejic added.
According to him, the ministers who are probably going to stay due to their closeness to Vucic and SNS are Interior Minister, Nebojša Stefanović, Defence Minister, Aleksandar Vulin, and Deputy Prime Minister, Zoran Mihajlovic.
“For Vucic, security and stability in the regmost are the most important hence it is the so-called ministers of force that are his most trustworthy people. I also expect that the wishes of Vucic’s coalition partners, Dacic, Ruzic, Krkobabic and Ljajic will also be respected,” said Pejic, adding that the positions of other ministers remain very uncertain.
Nenad Caluković said that government reshuffle has become a part of the political folklore in Serbia and Vucic’s favourite is to keep government ministers constantly on their toes.
“Every government reshuffle is, of course, welcome, but there is always a question as to whether it has any purpose at all, especially if there are already some serious reasons for early parliamentary elections to be held before the end of this year or the beginning of the next, such as the Kosovo drama or constitutional changes, “said Calukovic.
He added that the only the so-called ministers of force, Stefanovic and Vulin did not have to worry about their positions, while, as usual, people will have to find from the media which minister is going to be replaced, as it is the case with the Minister of Sports, Vanja Udovicic.